FOCUS Project Overview:

Acronym: FOCUS

Project Title: Foresight Security Scenarios: Mapping Research to a Comprehensive Approach to Exogenous EU Roles

Objectives: FOCUS will help shape European security research to enable the EU to effectively respond to tomorrow's challenges stemming from the globalization of risks, threats and vulnerabilities. FOCUS will concentrate on alternative future EU roles to prevent or respond to incidents situated on the "borderline" between the internal and external dimensions of the security affecting the Union and its citizens. It will do so by elaborating multiple scenarios, based on IT-supported foresight, in the form of alternative futures. These will be plausibility-probed versus mere threat scenarios. The main contribution of FOCUS is to develop an effective long-term foresight and assessment tool at the EU level, populated with the analyses carried out by the project. Moreover, FOCUS will deliver tangible products (such as an IT-based knowledge platform) and contents (i.e., a roadmap) for planning research and deciding on priorities. These products are usable beyond the project.

 

Take part in the FOCUS questionnaires

Documentation of the FOCUS Mid-term Symposium on 13 March 2012 in Vienna

 

 

FOCUS Comprehensive Progress Table (per Big Theme):

GREEN: Completed; YELLOW: Runnnig

Comprehensive approach

Natural disasters & global environmental change

Critical infrastructure & supply chain protection

EU as a global actor based on the wider Petersberg Tasks

EU internal framework

Common scenario foresight methodology and strategy for integration of results

Foresight tool repertory (identification, summary and assessment of publicly available tools)

Working version of IT-based Knowledge Platform,
with "scenario workbench" as current front end and definitions of scenario foresight processes

Environmental scanning and problem space description

Environmental scanning and problem space description

Environmental scanning and problem space description

Environmental scanning and problem space description

Environmental scanning and problem space description

Summary of problem space descriptions with proposed cross-cutting key drivers

Scenario foresight process

Scenario foresight process

Scenario foresight process

Scenario foresight process

Scenario foresight process

Context scenarios: Future EU roles

Context scenarios: Future EU roles

Context scenarios: Future EU roles

Draft Context scenarios: Future EU roles

Context scenarios: Future EU roles

EU role scenarios syllabus

Implementation of so-far tools (e.g. online questionnaires) and  results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge  Platform

Implementation of so-far tools (e.g. online questionnaires) and  results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Process stepper

Implementation of so-far tools (e.g. online questionnaires) and  results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far tools (e.g. online questionnaires) and  results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far tools (e.g. online questionnaires) and  results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Alternative futures: Scenarios for future security research in support of future EU roles

Alternative futures: Scenarios for future security research in support of future EU roles

Alternative futures: Scenarios for future security research in support of future EU roles

Alternative futures: Scenarios for future security research in support of future EU roles

Alternative futures: Scenarios for future security research in support of future EU roles

Thematic scenario portfolio for "security research 2035"
 

Implementation of so-far results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Implementation of so-far results in the further development of the IT-based Knowledge Platform

Addressing of cross-cutting aspects and capabilities, including ethics issues
(with some cross-theme foresight work)

Plausibility probe and input into reference scenario process

Plausibility probe and input into reference scenario process

Plausibility probe and input into reference scenario process

Plausibility probe and input into reference scenario process

Plausibility probe and input into reference scenario process

Reference scenario syllabus, and comprehensive syllabus of thematic scenarios (Big Themes)

Security research roadmap, including European Security (Research) Glossary

Final version of IT-based Knowledge Platform


FOCUS is part of the network of the
European Foresight Platform:


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